D.卡尔顿 罗西 D. Carlton Rossi
October 06, 2017
It is rather a perplexing phenomenon and pin prick to my ego as the less I write the more people want to read my website. It seems that I have risen to my maximum level of ineptitude and inefficiency according to the Peter Principle. Do nothing and they will come.
There have been no new additions to my website since September 17th and there will be no new articles posted until November 1st. The reason is simple. The 19th Party Congress begins on the 18th of October, so for the first time since 2003 my website is silent. The announcement was made in advance of September 17th when it was stated that I would cease publishing for a short period. Yet, my readership hits have inexplicably increased.
My readers seem to anticipate that I will have something to say or are looking for certainty in a chaotic world. However, it may satisfy my readers if I write a few words in the interim on another site about something rather than nothing at all. It wouldn't be surprising to see the hits decrease in inverse relationship to my effort.
The Korea Situation
The author will say something about the talk of Canada joining a missile defense system of the United States. It will always be spelled defense and not defence. If an attempt were made to intercept a missile aimed at Washington, D.C. it will be above Canada and not the United States. That was as true during the Cold War as it is now.
Perhaps you believe that a missile can stop a missile as a bullet can stop a bullet. It is recalled that one of the last shots fired during the Civil War involved a bullet hitting another bullet and fusing with it. One might conceive that if their paths were infinitesimally different then both the Union and Confederate soldier would have been killed. It is not recommended that you try this experiment with a friend or enemy in order to test whether or not a bullet can stop a bullet.
To some extent the Korean situation brings to mind the Cuban missile crisis. If you recall the United States had satellite imagery of the installation of Russian missiles on Cuban territory. The United States undertook a naval blockade of Cuba. The result was that the Russians withdrew their missiles.
Today, sanctions are imposed through the United Nations to dissuade North Korea from pursuing its missile and nuclear programs. To the credit of China it has stepped up it sanctions with the latest involving bitcoins and banks to prevent money laundering. However, all sanctions have not worked against North Korea in the past as they have tended to strengthen its resolve to develop these programs through self-reliance. There have also been too many end-runs available to circumvent the sanctions.
Military analysts in the West have proposed a naval blockade of North Korea by the United States and its allies. Generally speaking, one might conjecture that this solution has been rejected because it might trigger a war with China. For example, China might consider a naval blockade of North Korea as an act of war, view it as a threat to Chinese territory or Chinese ships might try to break the blockade.
The author therefore suggests that the blockade should be a joint exercise between China and the United States through a bilateral understanding. Its purpose would be to put leverage on North Korea to dismantle its missile and nuclear programs. To avoid possible accidents and incidents between Chinese and American ships it would be best to keep them at arm's length on either side of the Korean peninsula. Since North Korean missiles are flying toward Japan and American territory then it would be anticipated that the American fleet would be off the east coast of North Korea. It would not be recommended that allies of the United States and China be included in the primary blockade as this would complicate matters immensely and increase risks of confrontation between the two superpowers. As far as timing goes it would be best to wait until the 19th Party Congress has finished in order to initiate discussions.